Math · Stage 3
More, Less, or Equally Likely?
Order events by chance — and run a real experiment to see which outcome turns up most.
✦ Math📘 Stage 3 · S3⏱ ~10 min🧒 Ages 7–8★ Free to start
I can order events by likelihood (more, less, equally likely) and run a simple chance experiment.
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Kavi's Spinner Game 🎡
Kavi made a spinner that is mostly red with a tiny blue slice. "Red is the biggest, so landing on red is more likely," said Kavi. "Blue is tiny — that's less likely." Then Kavi flipped a coin: "Heads or tails? Those are equally likely! Let's spin and flip lots of times and keep score to see what really happens."
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What your child will learn
1Least likely → Most likelyEvery event sits somewhere on the chance line, from impossible (can't happen) up to certain (will happen). The further right, the more likely. Drop each one into its place, least likely on the left.
2Count the ways: which is MORE likely?When one thing can happen in more ways than another, it is more likely. The one with fewer ways is less likely. A bag holds 5 red balls and 1 blue ball — tap each card.
3Fair chances: equally likelyWhen every outcome has the same chance, we say they are equally likely — no favourite. Guess first, then check.
4Spin, tally, and read the resultsA chance experiment means doing something many times and keeping score. Kavi spun the red-blue-yellow spinner 16 times and tallied where it landed. Each bar shows how often.
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A peek inside
Order from LEAST to MOST likely: (A) it snows in a hot desert today, (B) you hear a dog bark today, (C) the sun rises tomorrow.
snow = unlikely, dog bark = likely, sun rises = certain
Try this at home: More likely to pick from a bag of 5 red and 1 blue: red or blue? __
Ready to play and learn?
Start the free interactive lesson, or print the handout for screen-free play.
Part of Math · Stage 3 · S3 on KAVI Academy — a secular, whole-child learning platform for ages 5–12.